Eurovision Odds: Sweden Pulling Away as 2025 Favorite
It's almost time again for the rhythmic stylings and pulsating beats of Eurovision, and one of our best sports betting sites is offering Eurovision odds.
The buildup to the main event in Switzerland has been ongoing, with the semifinals on May 13 and 15, and the grand finale on May 17. Many countries submit a song, and eventually a field of 37 will be whittled down to 31 before the semifinals, and then further prior to the finale.
The odds have been shuffling during the leadup, and that will continue as the field shrinks. For now, Sweden remains the heavy favorite, with its odds shortening from +210 to -125. There's a wide gap to Austria at +440 in second, and France is in third at +1000.
📊Eurovision odds 2025
The Eurovision odds to win the song contest in 2025 are from FanDuel.
| Country | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden | -125 | 55.56% | $8 |
| Austria | +440 | 18.52% | $44 |
| France | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Israel | +1400 | 6.67% | $140 |
| Netherlands | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Czech Republic | +2300 | 4.17% | $230 |
| Belgium | +2900 | 3.33% | $290 |
| Finland | +3000 | 3.23% | $300 |
| Estonia | +4200 | 2.33% | $420 |
| Cyprus | +4700 | 2.08% | $480 |
🥇 Eurovision odds favorite
🇸🇪 Sweden Eurovision odds (-125)
Sweden is just one year removed from winning Europe's song contest. That's when Loreen took home the honor for her country with "Tattoo."
Now KAJ is representing the Swedes with the stage-thumping banger "Bara Badu Bastu."
Sweden is a Eurovision powerhouse and is tied with Ireland for the most wins (seven) in the history of a competition that's been going since 1956. But unlike Ireland, the success of the Swedes has been more recent, with three of the nation's triumphs coming since 2012.
However, Sweden could face a challenge from the fast-rising Austria, with that country's odds shrinking from +1900 to +440 since March.
A $10 wager on Sweden would lead to a profit of just $8 at these odds quickly shortening odds from FanDuel.
Best odds: -125 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 55.56%
👀 Eurovision country to watch
🇳🇱 Netherlands Eurovision odds (+1600)
Although there are some dominant countries in Eurovision like Sweden and France, long shots frequently rise up too. We only need to look back to last year when Switzerland was getting +700 odds even entering the final after the field had been reduced, and eventually Nemo's hit "The Code" still prevailed.
Now Netherlands is bringing up the back of the top five while getting +1600 odds, though that's down from +2400 in March. But similar to Sweden, the Dutch have established a history of success at this event while winning it five times, with the last not too long ago in 2019.
A $10 wager on them would lead to a $160 profit.
Best odds: +1600 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 5.88%
Recent Eurovision winners
| Year | Country | Artist | Song |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Switzerland | Nemo | The Code |
| 2023 | Sweden | Loreen | Tattoo |
| 2022 | Ukraine | Kalush Orchestra | Stefania |
| 2021 | Italy | Maneskin | Zitti E Buoni |
| 2019 | Netherlands | Duncan Laurence | Arcade |
| 2018 | Israel | Toy | Netta |
| 2017 | Portugal | Salvador Sobral | Amar Pelos Dois |
| 2016 | Ukraine | Jamala | 1944 |
| 2015 | Sweden | Mans Zelmerlow | Heroes |
| 2014 | Austria | Conchita Wurst | Rise Like a Phoenix |
*Eurovision wasn't held during 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic
💡 How to bet on Eurovision odds
When betting on Eurovision odds, find a reputable sportsbook that offers futures bets for this award.
Check out the odds for different countries; for example, if Sweden is at +500 and Finland is at +800, Sweden is favored to win.
Decide how much you want to wager and place your bet. If you bet $100 on Sweden at +500 and that country wins, you’ll get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake).
Public betting trends are important here. If many people are betting on one country, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to manage their risk.
Expert analysis and predictions also play a role, as that can sway public opinion and betting patterns. Understanding these factors can help you make smarter bets and potentially catch favorable odds shifts.
📖 How to read Eurovision odds odds
Reading Eurovision odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the implied probability of a country winning the contest. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood of winning, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on performance and betting patterns.
For example, if Sweden is getting +500 odds and Finland sits at +800 odds, Sweden is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Sweden and it wins, you’d get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
❓Eurovision odds FAQ
What is Eurovision?
Eurovision is an international song contest in which each participating country submits an original song. It's been running since 1956.
This year, 37 countries have submitted entries, with 31 moving on to the semifinals.
Which country is the favorite to win Eurovision this year?
Sweden is the favorite at -125, which leads to an implied probability of 55.56%.
Which country won Eurovision last year?
Switzerland won Eurovision last year with "The Code" by Nemo. It was a significant upset, as the country entered the final round getting odds as long as +700 (an implied probability of 12.50%), while Croatia sat around -130.
Where will Eurovision be held this year?
Eurovision will be held in Basel, Switzerland this year.
When is Eurovision this year?
The two semifinals for Eurovision will be held on May 13 and 15, with the final on May 17.
How does judging for Eurovision work?
Judging is split between a jury of music professionals and the public. The latter can submit their vote through a phone call, text message, or through the official contest app.
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